Ukraine is engaging in a massive propaganda push to demoralise their enemy, by promoting the idea that Russia is loosing the war in Ukraine but an eye witness on the ground contradicts that narrative.
Coach Red Pill, who was staying in a Kiev Hotel during the invasion, confirms that Russians are winning massively, using a caldron strategy to capture the Ukrainian Army while allowing civilians to leave the city by train or go about their lives.
Analysis using Sun Tzu’s Art of War criteria also shows that Putin has a superior military strategy and is winning the war in Ukraine. “It is better to capture an army entire than to destroy it,” Tzu said.
Russia has surrounded Kiev and other cities in Ukraine and will attack from one side while using a pincer movement around the flanks to capture the fleeing enemy. This is know as the caldron strategy.
The western media promotes the ridiculous idea that Putin’s invasion had no justification. Yet for 8 years Ukraine has been in violation of the Minsk Agreement and has been repeatedly shelling civilians in the Donbass region, leading to Russian recognition of their independence. The Zelensky govt allowed Neo-Nazi and other militia to operate against civilians in Donbass. In other words they poked the Bear repeatedly and found out the consequences.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kc7P6j6og4k
Zelensky rose to power as a result of the Soros backed coup in 2014, known as a colour revolution, which resulted in atrocities against civilians. (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=loKajkXoTBU).
Zelensky jailed his political opponents and journalists but the media is pushing the narrative that this war is between democracy and the dictator Putin.
“The Zelensky Government of Ukraine is becoming a ruthless tyrant. He has also imprisoned the leader of the opposition Viktor V. Medvedchuk, who was the People’s Deputy of Ukraine from August 29, 2019. Medvedchuk is the chairman of the pro-Russia political organization Ukrainian Choice and an opponent of Ukraine joining the European Union. From an economic perspective, for Ukraine to join the EU would be to substitute one authoritarian government with another. Even the EU has called upon Zelensky to release Medvedchuk.” (https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/world-news/war/volodymyr-zelensky-the-man-intent-on-creating-world-war-iii/)
Putin’s warning have been ignored by the West despite 15 years of warnings that he would not tolerate NATO’s nuclear missiles in Ukraine, according to a US Col MacGregor.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4dq9tPNF-w
Zelensky handed out guns to civilians, which is clearly an act of desperation, not the actions of a leader confident in his army. The placing of guns in the hands of the populations has already caused an increase in crime, looting and gun violence, putting Ukrainian citizens at risk. Zelensky released violent prisoners and armed them.
Zelensky is inciting civilians to act as human shields against the Russian Army and has placed heavy artillery in urban areas to maximize the chances of the Russians causing civilian causalities.
Zelensky is conscripting all Ukrainian men between age of 18 and 60, causing many men to flee the cities and hide from their own government.
According to the Art of War the winning army can be determined by analysing 7 points:
- Which of the two Sovereigns is imbued with the moral law?
- Which of the two Generals has the most ability
- With whom lie the advantages derived from Heaven and Earth?
- On which side is discipline most rigorously enforced?
- Which Army is stronger?
- On which side are officers more highly trained?
- In which army is there the greater constancy both in reward and punishment.
In most of these areas Russia clearly has an advantage. The Russian Army is superior in strength and organisation, while Ukraine is recruiting civilians and prisoners to fight with little training against professional soldiers. Russia also has the moral high ground over the Donbass war giving it justification to invade.
Ukraine built up their military forces in the East but were caught by surprise in Kiev. “Attack him where is unprepared, appear where you’re not expected,” Tzu said.
“All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when able to attack we must seem unable; when using our forces we must seem inactive; when we are near we must make the enemy believe we are far away; when far away we must make him believe we are near. Hold out baits to entice the enemy. Feign disorder and crush him.”
The narrative the Ukraine is successfully repelling the Russian invaders is likely just propaganda that plays into Putin’s hand, by making Russia appear weak when they are strong.
Putin’s goal is to annex Eastern Ukraine and to decapitate the Zelensky government, in order to create a neutral buffer country between him and NATO. He has no interest in a prolonged conflict, drawing in other countries.
NATO countries have refused to send fighter jets and troops to Ukraine and seem reluctant to get into a war with Russia. Zelensky choose the cowards option of putting Ukraine’s people in harms way instead of resigning and ending the conflict immediately.